Comparison · NCT01515787-4bd7af4e
Group 1 vs Group 2: Local Recurrence (TLR):
Calculated by ConductScience from the counts the trial posted to ClinicalTrials.gov.
2 sourcestrial-comparisons-2026-03-23-0.1.0
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ConductScience Library. Group 1 vs Group 2: Local Recurrence (TLR):. Trial comparisons, record NCT01515787-4bd7af4e. Release trial-comparisons-2026-03-23-0.1.0, 23 Mar 2026. https://conductscience.org/library/comparisons/NCT01515787-4bd7af4e
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Measures6
Calculated by ConductScience from the counts the trial posted to ClinicalTrials.gov.
| Measure | Value | 95% interval, lower | 95% interval, upper | Method | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Risk in group 1 | 0.0154 | 0.00811 | 0.029 | wilson | |
| Risk in group 2 | 0.0129 | 0.00626 | 0.0264 | wilson | |
| Risk difference, group 1 minus group 2 | 0.00249 | -0.0128 | 0.0176 | newcombe hybrid score | |
| Risk ratio, group 1 over group 2 | 1.19 | 0.448 | 3.18 | log | |
| Odds ratio, group 1 over group 2 | 1.2 | 0.442 | 3.24 | log | |
| Number needed to treat, for one more participant with the outcome on Group 1 than on Group 2 | 401 | from the risk difference interval | the interval includes no difference |
Source ClinicalTrials.gov
Groups2
Neither group, or both, names a comparator, so the groups keep ClinicalTrials.gov's order.
| Group | Title | Description | With the outcome | Analysed | ClinicalTrials.gov code |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Group 1 | Group 1 | Patients will receive FOLFOX chemotherapy once every two weeks for 6 cycles total over a period of 12 weeks. After completing FOLFOX chemotherapy, the patient will have an MRI scan or endorectal ultrasound (ERUS) to examine the tumor. If the tumor has not decreased in size by at least 20%, the patient will receive 5FUCMT (radiation with chemotherapy). If the tumor has decreased in size by 20%, then the patient will proceed directly to surgery.~\>~\> If all borders of the tumor are normal post surgery, then the patient receives six additional cycles of FOLFOX chemotherapy. If all borders of the tumor are not normal then the patient receives chemoradiation therapy for 5.5 weeks after surgery. After chemoradiation, additional cycles of FOLFOX or similar chemotherapy will be recommended for 4 cycles or 8 weeks.~\>~\> FOLFOX (chemotherapy): Oxaliplatin 85 mg/m\^2 IV over 2 hours on day 1, leucovorin 400 mg/m\^2 bolus IV over 2 hours on day 1 and 5-fluorouracil 400 mg/m\^2 bolus over 5-15 minutes then 2400 mg/m\^2 continual over 46-48 hours total dose IV on days 1-2. The treatment schedule repeats based on the group.~* FUCMT (chemoradiation): 5-fluorouracil 225 mg/m\^2 per day continuous IV infusion administered concurrently with radiation therapy for 5 or 7 days per week OR capecitabine 825 mg/m\^2 twice daily administered orally and concurrently with radiation therapy for 5 days per week. | 9 | 585 | OG000 |
| Group 2 | Group 2 | Patients receive 5FUCMT including chemotherapy and radiation therapy for 5.5 weeks. Patients will be given either 5-fluorouracil or capecitabine and radiation therapy. After the chemoradiation therapy is completed, patients will proceed directly to surgery. Post-surgery, patients will receive FOLFOX chemotherapy once every two weeks for 8 cycles total over a period of 16 weeks.~\>~\> FOLFOX (chemotherapy): Oxaliplatin 85 mg/m\^2 IV over 2 hours on day 1, leucovorin 400 mg/m\^2 bolus IV over 2 hours on day 1 and 5-fluorouracil 400 mg/m\^2 bolus over 5-15 minutes then 2400 mg/m\^2 continual over 46-48 hours total dose IV on days 1-2. The treatment schedule repeats based on the group. Dose modifications are allowed based on adverse events.~\>~\> 5 FUCMT (chemoradiation): 5-fluorouracil 225 mg/m\^2 per day continuous IV infusion administered concurrently with radiation therapy for 5 or 7 days per week OR capecitabine 825 mg/m\^2 twice daily administered orally and concurrently with radiation therapy for 5 days per week. Dose modifications are allowed based on adverse events.~\>~\> surgery: low anterior resection with total mesorectal excision | 7 | 543 | OG001 |
Source ClinicalTrials.gov
Outcome
- Type
- SECONDARY
- Title
- Local Recurrence (TLR):
- Description
Time to Local Recurrence (TLR): The distribution of TLR by group will be estimated using the method of Kaplan-Meier. 5 year local recurrence free rates by treatment group with confidence intervals based on Kaplan-Meier curves will be reported. The comparison of the cumulative incidence of local recurrence between groups, treating distant recurrence and death as competing risks using the test of Gray (Annals of Statistics, 1988) will be conducted.
- Time frame
- Up to 5 years
- Population
Source ClinicalTrials.gov
Trial
- Title
- PROSPECT: Chemotherapy Alone or Chemotherapy Plus Radiation Therapy in Treating Patients With Locally Advanced Rectal Cancer Undergoing Surgery
- NCT number
- NCT01515787
- Phases
- PHASE2, PHASE3
- Conditions
- Colorectal Cancer
- Interventions
- FOLFOX (chemotherapy), 5 FUCMT (chemoradiation), surgery, magnetic resonance imaging or endorectal ultrasound
- Lead sponsor
- Alliance for Clinical Trials in Oncology
- Results first posted
- 2024-02-02
- Results on ClinicalTrials.gov
- https://clinicaltrials.gov/study/NCT01515787?tab=results
Source ClinicalTrials.gov
Source
- Release
- trial-comparisons-2026-03-23-0.1.0
- Release manifest SHA-256
- f66225897fbf258b57ea10bdacfd0347d3cdfda93f7f5685234b7e06ea36fa57
- AACT copy
- 2026-03-23
- Tables read
- outcome_counts.parquet, outcome_measurements.parquet, outcomes.parquet, reported_event_totals.parquet, reported_events.parquet, result_groups.parquet, studies.parquet, ctgov_trial.parquet
Source ClinicalTrials.gov
Sources 2
- ClinicalTrials.gov's posted results, through CTTI's AACTFreely available. Acknowledgement requested
- ClinicalTrials.govNo license stated
Each source's terms
- ClinicalTrials.gov's posted results, through CTTI's AACTClinicalTrials.gov data via Aggregate Analysis of ClinicalTrials.gov (AACT), CTTI. CTTI makes its materials freely available and requests acknowledgement. https://aact.ctti-clinicaltrials.org/documentation/299
- ClinicalTrials.govnone stated
ClinicalTrials.gov's data carry an international copyright outside the United States: https://clinicaltrials.gov/about-site/terms-conditions. The measures are ConductScience's calculation from them.
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